Netflix’s Rebel Ridge is the frontrunner for the 2025 Emmy Award for Best TV Movie, holding the top spot in Gold Derby’s odds despite strong competition from Bridget Jones: Mad About the Boy, Out of My Mind, Mountainhead, and Am I OK?. Directed by Jeremy Saulnier, the action thriller stars Aaron Pierre as a former Marine battling a corrupt small-town police force, earning critical acclaim with a 95% Rotten Tomatoes score and 129 million streams in 2024. Its awards momentum, including wins at the Critics Choice Awards (Best TV Movie) and Image Awards (Best Actor for Pierre), has kept it ahead.

The race is tightening, with Bridget Jones: Mad About the Boy (starring Renée Zellweger) and Out of My Mind (featuring Phoebe-Rae Taylor and Jennifer Aniston) gaining traction. Mountainhead, directed by Jesse Armstrong, is also a contender. Gold Derby’s 21 experts are split, with 10 predicting Rebel Ridge, nine backing Bridget Jones, and one each for Out of My Mind and Mountainhead. As Emmy voting nears, this category promises an exciting showdown.